Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 373.510059 424.444326 481.208681 549.418564 629.494867 720.928273 833.813145
2025-09-14 291.299586 355.875753 434.411494 537.955494 672.368662 843.014087 1079.383451
2025-09-21 250.183891 320.152153 410.204540 536.489561 712.070844 952.212199 1313.788776
2025-09-28 213.734119 283.194440 376.510442 513.746445 715.120880 1007.479981 1478.915089
2025-10-05 199.351301 272.935331 375.896150 534.413757 779.618601 1157.437726 1810.769343
2025-10-12 188.835445 266.241139 378.600034 558.994183 852.066976 1329.794651 2213.637310
2025-10-19 174.815105 252.560464 368.930841 562.516828 890.545189 1452.163798 2555.617649
2025-10-26 159.121780 234.588671 350.478934 549.122294 898.027240 1521.302747 2812.486013
2025-11-02 146.561908 220.157850 335.898666 539.936155 910.731586 1600.685523 3105.835372
2025-11-09 140.318291 215.044084 335.607592 554.720039 968.059328 1772.814058 3634.009653
2025-11-16 131.484741 204.883186 325.857634 551.420582 990.643003 1879.778009 4044.005973
2025-11-23 122.700479 194.043350 313.891113 542.564885 1000.862513 1962.429245 4417.315832
2025-11-30 116.285060 186.886356 307.987152 545.002886 1035.502414 2106.963328 4995.831454
2025-12-07 108.406155 176.613079 295.694146 533.876598 1040.612087 2187.137009 5431.529553
2025-12-14 102.692972 169.668365 288.755963 532.399495 1066.019639 2319.248100 6055.276996
2025-12-21 94.708568 158.084969 272.289752 509.864884 1041.515479 2325.477527 6307.656757
2025-12-28 92.902040 157.539458 276.456147 530.344905 1118.081711 2601.984926 7508.407398
2026-01-04 91.606987 157.809523 282.159136 554.701111 1207.794554 2934.188250 9040.910525
2026-01-11 88.023280 153.504704 278.508161 558.191457 1247.027168 3136.341057 10199.082941
2026-01-18 82.944198 146.002695 267.879116 544.919515 1241.874760 3209.367222 10893.995522
2026-01-25 78.681772 139.810854 259.447657 535.817118 1246.358425 3312.857019 11763.590120
2026-02-01 77.024583 138.599594 261.149059 550.466097 1316.575677 3637.674252 13758.123345
2026-02-08 73.807447 134.080332 255.575042 547.196809 1337.132987 3807.695831 15140.305512